據美國鉆井網站6月29日報道,“在每桶100美元到109.99美元之間。”在美國達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行最新舉行的第二季度能源調查中,134家石油和天然氣公司的高管對西得克薩斯中質原油(WTI)的價格到今年年底時的預測中,這是最受歡迎的回答。
只有不到30%的參與者選擇了這個回答,第二受歡迎的回答是每桶120美元到129.99美元。達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行第二季度能源調查結果顯示,超過10%的參與者預計WTI原油價格在今年年底將跌至每桶90美元以下,略低于10%的參與者預計WTI原油價格在今年年底將觸及每桶140美元或更高。
達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行能源調查強調,第二季度能源調查的均值觸及每桶107.93美元,低預估為每桶65美元,高預估為每桶160美元。調查期間,WTI原油的價格為每桶119.56美元。
據達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行能源調查結果顯示,在第一季度調查中,對年末WTI油價的平均預測為每桶93.26美元,最低預測為每桶50美元,最高預測為每桶200美元。第一季度調查時的WTI原油價格為每桶103.07美元。
美國能源信息署6月7日發布的最新短期能源展望(STEO)報告顯示,今年WTI原油現貨價格平均為每桶102.47美元。據STEO預測,今年第四季度WTI原油現貨價格將為每桶93美元。
根據日前發給美國鉆井網站的一份報告,惠譽解決方案國家風險與行業研究公司認為,今年WTI原油的平均價格為每桶97美元。
截至發稿時,WTI原油的交易價格為每桶112.37美元。今年年初,這種大宗商品價格略高于每桶70美元左右的關口,今年以來曾多次報收于每桶120美元關口以上。
李峻 編譯自 美國鉆井網站
原文如下:
Where Will WTI Oil Price be at End-2022?
Between $100 and $109.99 per barrel.
That was the most popular response by executives from 134 oil and gas firms when asked, as part of the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey, where they expected the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price to be at the end of 2022.
Just under 30 percent of the participants chose the response, with the second most popular response being between $120.00 and $129.99 per barrel. Over 10 percent of participants see WTI coming in at under $90 per barrel at the end of the year and just under 10 percent see the commodity hitting $140 or more at the end of 2022, the second quarter (2Q) Dallas Fed Energy Survey showed.
The survey average for 2Q hit $107.93 per barrel, with a low forecast of $65 per barrel and a high forecast of $160 per barrel, the Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted. The WTI price during the survey was shown to be $119.56.
In its first quarter survey, the average WTI price prediction for the year-end WTI oil price was $93.26 per barrel, with a low forecast of $50 per barrel and a high forecast of $200 per barrel, the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey pointed out. The WTI price during this survey was shown to be $103.07 per barrel.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released June 7, sees the WTI spot price averaging $102.47 per barrel this year. According to the STEO, the WTI spot price will average $93 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research sees the WTI price averaging $97 per barrel this year, according to a report sent to Rigzone last Friday.
At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $112.37 per barrel. The commodity started the year just above the mid-$70 mark and has since gone on to close above the $120 mark on several occasions this year.
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