據(jù)油價網(wǎng)5月18日消息稱,油輪追蹤公司Petro-Logistics周一稱,5月迄今為止,歐佩克石油出口量已躍升100萬桶/天,而歐佩克+集團(tuán)本月開始放寬了35萬桶/天的減產(chǎn)。
在4月初的部長級會議上,OPEC+集團(tuán)決定在5月至7月期間逐步恢復(fù)100萬桶/天的產(chǎn)量。5月和6月,OPEC+的石油總產(chǎn)量將增加35萬桶/天,7月將增加40萬桶/天。此外,沙特阿拉伯還將在接下來的幾個月里逐步減少100萬桶/天的單邊減產(chǎn),5月和6月的月產(chǎn)量將增加25萬桶/天。總體而言,到7月,OPEC+的產(chǎn)量預(yù)計將達(dá)到210萬桶/天。
從4月初開始的這一決定表明,OPEC+領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人相信,隨著疫苗接種項目的加速和人們開始更多地旅行,市場將能夠吸收這么多的供應(yīng)。OPEC+和所有分析師預(yù)計,全球石油需求將在2021年下半年強勁反彈,到今年第四季度末幾乎達(dá)到危機前的水平。
高盛在4月底表示,預(yù)計未來6個月全球石油需求將實現(xiàn)“有史以來最大的增長”。該投行預(yù)計,未來六個月石油需求將增加520萬桶/天。
朱佳妮 摘譯自 油價網(wǎng)
原文如下:
OPEC’s Oil Exports Are Surging By 1 Million Bpd In May
OPEC’s oil exports have jumped by 1 million barrels per day (bpd) so far in May, while the OPEC+ group started easing the production cuts by 350,000 bpd this month, tanker tracker Petro-Logistics said on Monday.
At the ministerial meeting in early April, the OPEC+ group decided to gradually return over 1 million bpd to the market between May and July. The OPEC+ collective oil production is set to rise by 350,000 bpd in both May and June and by more than 400,000 bpd in July. Additionally, Saudi Arabia will also gradually ease its extra unilateral cut of 1 million bpd over the course of the next few months, beginning with monthly production increases of 250,000 bpd in both May and June. Overall, OPEC+ is expected to return to the market as much as 2.1 million bpd by July.
The decision from early April signaled the confidence of the leaders of the OPEC+ alliance that the market would be able to absorb that much supply as vaccination programs are accelerating and people start traveling more. OPEC+ and all analysts expect global oil demand to rebound strongly in the second half of 2021 and nearly reach pre-crisis levels by the end of the fourth quarter this year.
Goldman Sachs said at the end of April that it expects global oil demand to realize “the biggest jump in oil demand ever” the next six months. The investment bank sees oil demand jumping by 5.2 million bpd over the next six months.
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