據(jù)鉆機地帶網(wǎng)站8月11日報道，油價創(chuàng)下自2022年年中以來最長的連續(xù)上漲，多份報告預測需求增加，這為油價上漲提供了新的動力。油價上漲是建立在供應中斷風險增加和沙特延長減產(chǎn)的基礎上的。

據(jù)國際能源署(IEA)8月11日發(fā)布的月度報告稱，全球石油需求在6月份飆升至歷史最高水平，8月份可能進一步飆升。歐佩克周四發(fā)布的月度報告預計，本季度市場將出現(xiàn)每日逾200萬桶的供應缺口。

與此同時，自6月底以來推動油價上漲的供應擔憂仍未減弱。近期地緣政治沖突升級，貿(mào)易商正密切關注原油在黑海地區(qū)的出口可能受到的干擾。周二，歐佩克領導者沙特阿拉伯重申了下個月自愿限制石油供應的承諾。

西得克薩斯中質(zhì)原油收于每桶83美元上方，延續(xù)了自2022年6月以來最長的七周漲幅。周四，原油期貨觸及去年11月以來的最高盤中水平。

自6月下旬以來，由于沙特阿拉伯減產(chǎn)，以及歐佩克及其盟友的出口限制，石油價格上漲。貿(mào)易商們也在繼續(xù)關注更廣泛的經(jīng)濟前景，因為美聯(lián)儲(Federal Reserve)激進加息周期的影響繼續(xù)波及市場，但摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase & Co.)周五表示，到9月份油價可能達到90美元。

包括Natasha Kaneva在內(nèi)的分析師參考布倫特基準在一份報告中寫道，“我們認為油價將繼續(xù)從目前的水平向每桶90美元攀升。關鍵市場指標顯示，現(xiàn)貨市場正在迅速趨緊”。

價格：

紐約9月交付的西得克薩斯中質(zhì)原油期貨上漲37美分，收于每桶83.19美元。

布倫特原油10月期貨上漲41美分，收于每桶86.81美元。

這種供應緊張正影響到下游的燃料市場，在歐洲，一種煉油后剩下的石油的價格幾十年來首次超過了原油。汽油和柴油價格也遠高于季節(jié)性標準，部分原因是煉油廠限制產(chǎn)量。

郝芬 譯自 鉆機地帶網(wǎng)站

原文如下：

Oil Posts Seventh Weekly Gain as Markets Tighten

Oil posted its longest streak of gains since mid-2022 as multiple reports forecasting increased demand gave a fresh boost to a rally built on increased supply-disruption risks and extended Saudi production cuts.

Among the bullish projections was a monthly IEA report on Friday that said world oil demand surged to a record in June and may soar even higher in August . An OPEC monthly report on Thursday forecast markets will experience a sharp supply deficit of more than 2 million barrels a day this quarter.

Meanwhile, the supply concerns that have driven oil’s rally since late June have yet to abate. Traders are closely watching the potential disruption of oil exports in the Black Sea after recent escalations in the geopolitical conflicts. On Tuesday, OPEC leader Saudi Arabia reaffirmed its commitment to voluntarily curb supplies next month.

West Texas Intermediate rose to settle above $83, cementing a seven-week stretch of gains that is its longest since June 2022. Futures reached the highest intraday level since November on Thursday.

Oil has rallied since late June on cuts from Saudi Arabia, aided by export curbs from OPEC+ ally. Traders are also continuing to monitor the wider economic outlook, as the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hiking cycle continues to ripple through markets, but JPMorgan Chase & Co. said Friday that prices could reach $90 by September.

“We believe prices will continue to climb from here towards $90,” analysts including Natasha Kaneva wrote in a note, referring to the Brent benchmark. “Key market gauges are pointing to a rapidly tightening physical market.”

Prices:

WTI for September delivery rose 37 cents to settle at $83.19 a barrel in New York.

Brent for October settlement advanced 41 cents to settle at $86.81 a barrel.

The tightness is flowing through to downstream fuel markets, with a type of petroleum left over from oil refining costing more than crude in Europe for the first time in decades. Prices of gasoline and diesel are also well above seasonal norms, partly as a result of refinery output curbs.