據鉆機地帶4月14日報道,油價連續第四周上漲,受到全球市場趨緊跡象的支撐,IEA警告稱,油價將進一步上漲。
西得克薩斯中質油(WTI)收于每桶82美元上方,創下6月以來最長單周漲幅。原油價格徘徊在五個月高點附近,此前歐佩克+宣布計劃每日減產逾100萬桶,令市場感到意外。美國庫存下降、產能大國石油供應減弱,以及伊拉克庫爾德地區石油管道供應中斷,都推動了油價上漲。
市場正在消化本周對原油供應和需求喜憂參半的預測。IEA周五在其月度展望報告中表示,歐佩克+最新的減產可能會提振已經面臨高通脹的消費者的油價。歐佩克此前一天曾預測,市場將嚴重供應不足。相比之下,EIA預計2023年和2024年的供大于求。
來自全球最大原油進口國的需求也在支撐油價。
關鍵技術指標也顯示出市場趨緊的信號。按現貨溢價計算,WTI現貨價差(兩份最近合約之間的價差)為每桶9美分。與一個月前16美分的期貨溢價相比,這種看漲模式形成了鮮明的逆轉。
價格
在紐約,5月份交割的WTI期貨上漲了36美分,收于每桶82.52美元。
本周早些時候,美國基準油價觸及每桶83.53美元,為去年11月中旬以來的最高盤中價格。
布倫特原油6月結算價上漲22美分,收于每桶86.31美元。
壽琳玲 編譯自 鉆機地帶
原文如下:
Oil Edges Up Posting Fourth Weekly Gain
Oil rose for the fourth straight week, supported by signs of a tightening global market that have the International Energy Agency warning of higher prices ahead.
West Texas Intermediate settled above $82 a barrel, posting its longest run of weekly advances since June. Crude is hovering near five-month highs after OPEC+ surprised the market with plans to cut more than 1 million barrels of daily output. Declining US stockpiles, weaker flows from the largger producer and interruptions to pipeline supplies from Iraqi Kurdistan have added to the gains.
Markets are digesting a week of mixed projections for crude supply and demand. The latest OPEC+ cuts threaten to boost oil prices for consumers already facing high inflation, the IEA said in its monthly outlook on Friday. The cartel had forecast a day earlier that markets would be deeply undersupplied. In contrast, the US Energy Information Administration projected supplies surpassing demand both in 2023 and 2024.
Key technical measures are signaling a tighter market, too. WTI’s prompt spread — the difference between its two nearest contracts — was at 9 cents a barrel in backwardation. The bullish pattern is a stark reversal from when it was trading 16 cents in contango a month ago.
Prices:
WTI for May delivery rose 36 cents to settle at $82.52 a barrel in New York.
Earlier this week, the US benchmark touched $83.53 a barrel, the highest intraday price since mid-November.
Brent for June settlement advanced 22 cents to settle at $86.31 a barrel.
免責聲明:本網轉載自其它媒體的文章及圖片,目的在于弘揚石化精神,傳遞更多石化信息,宣傳國家石化產業政策,展示國家石化產業形象,參與國際石化產業輿論競爭,提高國際石化產業話語權,并不代表本網贊同其觀點和對其真實性負責,在此我們謹向原作者和原媒體致以崇高敬意。如果您認為本站文章及圖片侵犯了您的版權,請與我們聯系,我們將第一時間刪除。