? 盡管汽油價格創歷史新高,但美國汽油需求依然強勁
? 截至5月16日,美國全國普通汽油平均價格為每加侖4.483美元
? 過去一周,美國汽油需求增加3.0%
據美國油價網5月16日報道,盡管汽油價格創下歷史新高,但美國的汽油需求并未下降。過去兩周,美國的每日汽油價格屢創新高。
根據美國汽車協會(AAA)發布的數據,截至5月16日,美國全國普通汽油平均價格為每加侖4.483美元,為歷史最高。這比一周前的每加侖4.328美元,比一個月前的每加侖4.077美元,比去年同一天的每加侖3.044美元都出現大幅上漲。
在過去的幾天里,美國汽油價格每天都在刷新紀錄。國際原油價格高企,加上市場受到地緣政治沖突的影響,以及疫情后旅行需求的復蘇,推動今年美國汽油價格走高。
不過,據油價統計軟件GasBuddy石油分析主管帕特里克·德·哈恩分享的數據顯示,過去一周(周日至周六),美國的汽油需求比前一周增加3.0%,比四周平均水平增加1.8%。哈恩5月15日在推特上說:“美國人顯然沒有因為高汽油價而太氣餒?!?/p>
哈恩補充稱,如果汽油價格接近每加侖6美元,美國汽油需求將遭到指數級破壞。
哈恩說:“很多人都在談論我們看到的指數級需求破壞。在正常的無疫情環境下,考慮到通貨膨脹,現在汽油價格每加侖可能會超過5美元,但考慮到當前的經濟,5美元不會破壞這么多的需求。 我認為破壞汽油需求需要接近6美元?!?/p>
哈恩5月16日在一份報告中說:“由于需求繼續上升,汽油和柴油庫存繼續下降,溫度的升高,駕車者回到室外,陣亡將士紀念日周末的臨近以及夏季駕駛季節的開始,美國汽油價格本周晚些時候可能會接近每加侖5美元?!?/p>
哈恩補充稱:“盡管未來幾天汽油價格上漲幅度可能開始放緩,但沒有太多理由樂觀地認為,我們將很快看到汽油價格暴跌。”
李峻 編譯自 美國油價網
原文如下:
Highest Ever U.S. Gasoline Prices Aren’t Destroying Demand
· U.S. gasoline demand is resilient despite all-time high prices.
· As of May 16, the nationwide average price of a gallon of regular gasoline was $4.483.
· Gasoline demand in the United States increased by 3.0% in the past week,
U.S. gasoline demand is not going down despite record-high gasoline prices, which have been beating previous all-time highs on a daily basis in the past two weeks.
As of May 16, the nationwide average price of a gallon of regular gasoline was $4.483—the highest on record, according to AAA data. That’s up from $4.328 a week ago, $4.077 a month ago, and a massive jump from $3.044 per gallon on the same day in 2021.
Over the past days, U.S. gasoline prices have been setting records day after day. High international crude oil prices, with markets rattled by the war and a post-COVID recovery in travel demand, have been pushing U.S. gasoline prices higher this year.
Still, weekly gasoline demand in the United States increased by 3.0% in the past week (Sunday through Saturday) from the prior week and was up 1.8% compared to the four week average, according to data from fuel-savings app GasBuddy shared by its head of petroleum analysis Patrick De Haan.
“Americans clearly aren being too discouraged by high gasprices,” De Haan tweeted on Sunday.
The line for exponential demand destruction is if gasoline prices get closer to $6 per gallon, De Haan added.
“Much talked about the line where we see exponential demand destruction. In a normal non-Covid environment, it probably be north of $5 per gallon now with inflation, but given the current economy, $5 wouldn't destroy as much demand. I think we need to get closer to $6,” he said.
In a note on Monday, De Haan said, “Prices later this week could be closer to $5 per gallon than $4, as demand continues to edge higher and inventories of both gasoline and diesel continue to decline, temperatures warm and motorists get back outside and we near the Memorial Day weekend, the start of the summer driving season.”
“While the increases may start to slow in the days ahead as pump prices catch up to oil, there isn’t much reason to be optimistic that we’ll see a plunge any time soon,” he added.
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