據美國鉆井網站2021年6月24日報道，美國西德克薩斯中質原油(WTI)的價格到今年年底將達到每桶69.71美元。
這是達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行(Dallas Fed)能源調查的最新平均數據。該調查詢問了150家油氣公司的高管，他們對今年年底WTI價格的預期是： 調查的低預測為49美元/桶，高預測為85美元/桶。 該調查在6月9日至17日進行。 同期WTI現貨價格平均為每桶71.05美元。
達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行在3月10日至3月18日進行的上一次能源調查結果顯示，今年WTI均價為每桶61.13美元，低預測為每桶45美元，高預測為每桶85美元。 那次調查包括152名油氣公司高管的回答，當時WTI現貨價格平均為每桶64.39美元。
達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行最新的能源調查還詢問了受訪者，他們是否認為未來2 - 4年內全球原油供應將出現缺口。 76%的高管認為會有。 83%的高管還透露，他們在風能和/或太陽能方面沒有投資。 7%的人指出，他們已經在技術上進行了投資，9%的人說他們計劃在2025年之前進行投資。
達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行對位于或總部設在第11區(德克薩斯州、新墨西哥州南部和路易斯安那州北部)的約200家石油和天然氣公司進行一次季度調查。這些公司的業務范圍包括地區性、全國性和國際性業務。 達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行表示，收集到的信息是經濟分析的一個有價值的組成部分，并為聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)的貨幣政策審議提供信息。
李峻 編譯自 美國鉆井網站
原文如下：
What Price Will WTI Oil Be at End-2021?
The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil at the end of 2021 will be $69.71 per barrel.
That’s according to the latest average from the Dallas Fed energy survey, which asked executives from 150 oil and gas firms what they expected the price of WTI to be at the end of the year. The low forecast of the survey came in at $49 per barrel and the high forecast was $85 per barrel. The survey was conducted from June 9 to June 17. WTI spot prices during the period averaged $71.05 per barrel.
Dallas Fed’s previous energy survey, which was conducted from March 10 to March 18, resulted in a WTI average price of $61.13 per barrel, with a low forecast of $45 per barrel and a high forecast of $85 per barrel. WTI spot prices during this survey, which included answers from 152 oil and gas firm executives, averaged $64.39 per barrel.
The latest version of the Dallas Fed energy survey also asked participants if they believed there will be a global crude oil supply gap in the next two to four years. Seventy-six percent of executives said they believed there would be. The majority of executives - 83 percent – also revealed that they don’t have investments in wind and/or solar. Seven percent noted that they already have an investment in the technologies and nine percent said they are planning to make an investment by 2025.
The Dallas Fed conducts a quarterly survey of around 200 oil and gas firms located or headquartered in the Eleventh District - Texas, southern New Mexico, and northern Louisiana - which operate regionally, nationally, or internationally. According to the Dallas Fed, the information collected is a valuable component of economic analysis and serves as input for Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy deliberations.
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